TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030446
Played Aug 28Finished
Petr Bruzek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811511611––
Roman Urban
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bruzek above · Roman Urban below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Roman Urban at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bruzek 0–2 Roman Urban Petr Bruzek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:30What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bruzek 1418 vs Urban 1442
Urban
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bruzek 60% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bruzek 40% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bruzek +2 · Urban -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruzek 1.91 / Urban 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urban)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030446
Bruzek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 30 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26
Urban1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 36 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBruzek0wins
AwayUrban2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderUrban leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBruzekUrbanB − UBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.045.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBruzekUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 382 vs 68 / 13047.4%52.3%181 / 382 vs 68 / 130Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanBruzek 1.91/Urban 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek—118561R. Urban—71111113
LJan 24 · 02:00P. Bruzek—121194122R. Urban—1041111143
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122
R. Urban10
LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113LAug 29 · 02:00R. Urban1.7311101371J. Didi2.0081215113WAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260LAug 29 · 24:00M. Stefek2.381111113R. Urban1.534890LAug 16 · 03:29V. Dolezal2.1011115113R. Urban1.67871131
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