TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030373
Played Aug 29Finished
Roman Urban
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112112116––––
Tomas Andrle
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Urban above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 43 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Roman Urban at 54.0%
43 points played in total.
H2H Roman Urban 3–0 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Urban
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1454 vs Andrle 1502
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 40% vs Andrle 60%
Andrle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Andrle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -1 · Andrle +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.73 / Andrle 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urban)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030373
Urban1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite77% won 36 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Andrle2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 38 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUrban3wins
AwayAndrle0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderUrban leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban2Andrle1n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S2Urban2Andrle1n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S3Urban3Andrle0n = 3Urban took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricUrbanAndrleU − ABasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.023.7+14.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 129 vs 229 / 47252.7%48.5%68 / 129 vs 229 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.73/Andrle 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban—1111113T. Andrle—2260
WFeb 12 · 04:00R. Urban—1114113T. Andrle—31240
WFeb 11 · 23:30R. Urban—931211103T. Andrle—111110282
R. Urban10
LSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240LSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711WSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471WSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172LSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352WAug 29 · 02:59P. Bruzek2.5011118822R. Urban1.50751111113LAug 29 · 02:00R. Urban1.7311101371J. Didi2.0081215113LAug 29 · 24:00M. Stefek2.381111113R. Urban1.534890WAug 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek1.91118561R. Urban1.8071111113LAug 16 · 03:29V. Dolezal2.1011115113R. Urban1.67871131
T. Andrle10
WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592LAug 26 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00911711113T. Andrle1.7311611692LAug 26 · 02:00T. Andrle1.618940M. Stefek2.201111113WAug 26 · 01:00T. Andrle1.4071111113T. Regner2.75115851
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