TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003458
Played Aug 26Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115118115––
Tomas Regner
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 72.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 15–4 Tomas Regner Tomas Regner has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Andrle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Andrle
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1529 vs Regner 1453
Andrle
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 40% vs Regner 20%
Andrle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 70% vs Regner 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +2 · Regner -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Andrle) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 1.40 / Regner 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Andrle)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003458
Andrle1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 58 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Regner2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 128 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back29% 41 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAndrle8wins
AwayRegner2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAndrle leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle100%5 of 5
AwayRegner40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S2Andrle5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S3Andrle8Regner2n = 10Andrle took 8 of 10
S4Andrle5Regner2n = 7Andrle took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAndrleRegnerA − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.734.5+6.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 471 vs 485 / 97948.6%49.5%229 / 471 vs 485 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleAndrle 1.40/Regner 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 01:00T. Andrle—71111113T. Regner—115851
WAug 6 · 18:00T. Andrle—1715113T. Regner—151350
LJul 31 · 03:00T. Andrle—891141T. Regner—11119113
LJul 30 · 23:00T. Andrle—71180T. Regner—1113113
WJul 29 · 03:28T. Andrle—1111113T. Regner—8870
WJul 29 · 02:00T. Andrle—101311133T. Regner—12117111
WJul 14 · 22:00T. Andrle—1110911113T. Regner—71211532
WJul 13 · 02:30T. Andrle—118135113T. Regner—511111172
WJul 1 · 03:30T. Andrle—111211113T. Regner—1310271
WJul 1 · 01:30T. Andrle—11811113T. Regner—611371
T. Andrle10
WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592LAug 26 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00911711113T. Andrle1.7311611692LAug 26 · 02:00T. Andrle1.618940M. Stefek2.201111113
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113
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