TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030259
Played Aug 29Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1168111210911411
Tomas Andrle
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 2–3 Tomas Andrle Martin Stefek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1522 vs Andrle 1502
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 60% vs Andrle 40%
Stefek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 60% vs Andrle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -1 · Andrle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.73 / Andrle 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stefek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030259
Stefek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 130 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 121
Andrle2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 38 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStefek2wins
AwayAndrle3wins
4 of 5 to a deciderAndrle leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAndrle75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek1Andrle4n = 5Andrle took 4 of 5
S2Stefek4Andrle1n = 5Stefek took 4 of 5
S3Stefek3Andrle2n = 5Stefek took 3 of 5
S4Stefek3Andrle1n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
S5Stefek1Andrle3n = 4Andrle took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStefekAndrleS − ABasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match42.442.2+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime573 / 1192 vs 229 / 47248.1%48.5%573 / 1192 vs 229 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.73/Andrle 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 26 · 02:00M. Stefek—1111113T. Andrle—8940
WAug 22 · 24:00M. Stefek—611311113T. Andrle—11711862
LJul 30 · 22:00M. Stefek—711111112T. Andrle—110911133
LJun 6 · 03:30M. Stefek—1151111112T. Andrle—131186133
LJun 5 · 23:30M. Stefek—71381182T. Andrle—1111118113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172
T. Andrle10
WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592LAug 26 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00911711113T. Andrle1.7311611692LAug 26 · 02:00T. Andrle1.618940M. Stefek2.201111113WAug 26 · 01:00T. Andrle1.4071111113T. Regner2.75115851
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