TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13016710
Played Aug 26Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116711116119
Tomas Andrle
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 2–3 Tomas Andrle Martin Stefek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Andrle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.00 / Andrle 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Andrle)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13016710
Stefek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 179 of 428
Down 0–1, comes back22% 53 of 243
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 147
Andrle1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 58 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStefek2wins
AwayAndrle3wins
4 of 5 to a deciderAndrle leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAndrle75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek1Andrle4n = 5Andrle took 4 of 5
S2Stefek4Andrle1n = 5Stefek took 4 of 5
S3Stefek3Andrle2n = 5Stefek took 3 of 5
S4Stefek3Andrle1n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
S5Stefek1Andrle3n = 4Andrle took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStefekAndrleS − ABasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match42.442.2+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime566 / 1183 vs 229 / 47247.8%48.5%566 / 1183 vs 229 / 472Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleStefek 2.00/Andrle 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 26 · 02:00M. Stefek—1111113T. Andrle—8940
WAug 22 · 24:00M. Stefek—611311113T. Andrle—11711862
LJul 30 · 22:00M. Stefek—711111112T. Andrle—110911133
LJun 6 · 03:30M. Stefek—1151111112T. Andrle—131186133
LJun 5 · 23:30M. Stefek—71381182T. Andrle—1111118113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172
T. Andrle10
WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592LAug 26 · 02:00T. Andrle1.618940M. Stefek2.201111113WAug 26 · 01:00T. Andrle1.4071111113T. Regner2.75115851
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