TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13031436
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1166111012119118
Petr Bruzek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:46 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timePetr Bruzek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Petr Bruzek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Bruzek at 59.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 1–7 Petr Bruzek Tomas Andrle has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bruzek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Bruzek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1519 vs Bruzek 1376
Andrle
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 60% vs Bruzek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 50% vs Bruzek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +1 · Bruzek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bruzek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 2.50 / Bruzek 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Bruzek)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13031436
Andrle2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 38 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Bruzek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 42 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeAndrle1wins
AwayBruzek7wins
3 of 8 to a deciderBruzek leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle25%1 of 4
AwayBruzek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle4Bruzek4n = 8split evenly
S2Andrle3Bruzek5n = 8Bruzek took 5 of 8
S3Andrle0Bruzek8n = 8Bruzek took 8 of 8
S4Andrle2Bruzek4n = 6Bruzek took 4 of 6
S5Andrle1Bruzek2n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricAndrleBruzekA − BBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match32.842.2−9.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 471 vs 179 / 38048.6%47.1%229 / 471 vs 179 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BruzekAndrle 2.50/Bruzek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Bruzek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle—1161011113P. Bruzek—61112982
LAug 24 · 03:00T. Andrle—119361P. Bruzek—91111113
LAug 24 · 02:00T. Andrle—91181172P. Bruzek—118118113
LJul 28 · 22:00T. Andrle—12116652P. Bruzek—1071111113
LJul 21 · 17:28T. Andrle—713761P. Bruzek—111111113
LJul 21 · 16:00T. Andrle—4570P. Bruzek—1111113
LJul 16 · 22:30T. Andrle—7760P. Bruzek—1111113
LJun 30 · 23:00T. Andrle—114951P. Bruzek—81111113
T. Andrle10
WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592LAug 26 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00911711113T. Andrle1.7311611692LAug 26 · 02:00T. Andrle1.618940M. Stefek2.201111113WAug 26 · 01:00T. Andrle1.4071111113T. Regner2.75115851
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122
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