TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003394
Played Aug 26Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911411––––
Martin Stefek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 54 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 64.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 3–2 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1514 vs Stefek 1497
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 60% vs Stefek 100%
Stefek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 70% vs Stefek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +3 · Stefek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Andrle) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 1.61 / Stefek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Andrle)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003394
Andrle1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 58 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Stefek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 179 of 428
Down 0–1, comes back22% 53 of 243
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAndrle3wins
AwayStefek2wins
4 of 5 to a deciderAndrle leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle75%3 of 4
AwayStefekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle4Stefek1n = 5Andrle took 4 of 5
S2Andrle1Stefek4n = 5Stefek took 4 of 5
S3Andrle2Stefek3n = 5Stefek took 3 of 5
S4Andrle1Stefek3n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
S5Andrle3Stefek1n = 4Andrle took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricAndrleStefekA − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.242.4−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 472 vs 566 / 118348.5%47.8%229 / 472 vs 566 / 1183Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleAndrle 1.61/Stefek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 26 · 02:00T. Andrle—8940M. Stefek—1111113
LAug 22 · 24:00T. Andrle—11711862M. Stefek—611311113
WJul 30 · 22:00T. Andrle—110911133M. Stefek—711111112
WJun 6 · 03:30T. Andrle—131186133M. Stefek—1151111112
WJun 5 · 23:30T. Andrle—1111118113M. Stefek—71381182
T. Andrle10
WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592LAug 26 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00911711113T. Andrle1.7311611692WAug 26 · 01:00T. Andrle1.4071111113T. Regner2.75115851
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781WAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113LAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113WAug 26 · 03:28M. Stefek2.00911711113T. Andrle1.7311611692
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