TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042008
Played Aug 30Finished
Martin Tacinec
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11881110121513116
Jan Briska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Tacinec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Tacinec above · Jan Briska below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 105 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Tacinec at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Martin Tacinec 5–5 Jan Briska Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tacinec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tacinec 1433 vs Briska 1404
Tacinec
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tacinec 80% vs Briska 40%
Tacinec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tacinec 50% vs Briska 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tacinec +3 · Briska +2
Tacinec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tacinec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tacinec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTacinec 1.73 / Briska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tacinec)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042008
Tacinec1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 54 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Briska2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back40% 2 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTacinec5wins
AwayBriska5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTacinec57.1%4 of 7
AwayBriska66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tacinec7Briska3n = 10Tacinec took 7 of 10
S2Tacinec4Briska6n = 10Briska took 6 of 10
S3Tacinec4Briska6n = 10Briska took 6 of 10
S4Tacinec5Briska4n = 9Tacinec took 5 of 9
S5Tacinec2Briska3n = 5Briska took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTacinecBriskaT − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.640.4+2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTacinecBriskaBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 296 vs 185 / 39553.7%46.8%159 / 296 vs 185 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TacinecTacinec 1.73/Briska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tacinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tacinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec—6111310102J. Briska—1161112123
WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec—1181015113J. Briska—811121362
WMay 16 · 08:00M. Tacinec—11611113J. Briska—911461
LOct 25 · 13:00M. Tacinec—41180J. Briska—1113113
LOct 25 · 11:00M. Tacinec—11115962J. Briska—271111113
LSep 21 · 13:00M. Tacinec—12981172J. Briska—1011116113
WSep 21 · 10:00M. Tacinec—11119113J. Briska—761191
WAug 10 · 09:03M. Tacinec—119118133J. Briska—811611112
LAug 10 · 07:00M. Tacinec—118881J. Briska—51111113
WJul 6 · 06:00M. Tacinec—81111113J. Briska—114581
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881LAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
J. Briska10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951WSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342WAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123LAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113WAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110WMay 16 · 09:00L. Sulava1.911071141J. Briska1.8012115113LMay 16 · 08:00M. Tacinec2.1011611113J. Briska1.67911461LMay 16 · 07:00L. Sulava2.2011145113J. Briska1.615121181
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