TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470525
Played Aug 22Finished
Martin Tacinec
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11812109117111210
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Tacinec to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Tacinec above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Martin Tacinec at 64.5%
101 points played in total.
H2H Martin Tacinec 3–3 Miroslav Barta Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tacinec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tacinec 1402 vs Barta 1385
Tacinec
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tacinec 20% vs Barta 80%
Barta
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tacinec 50% vs Barta 80%
Barta
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tacinec -3 · Barta +2
Tacinec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tacinec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTacinec 1.50 / Barta 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Tacinec)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470525
Tacinec1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 51 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Barta2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 61 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTacinec3wins
AwayBarta3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTacinecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBarta75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tacinec2Barta4n = 6Barta took 4 of 6
S2Tacinec2Barta4n = 6Barta took 4 of 6
S3Tacinec2Barta4n = 6Barta took 4 of 6
S4Tacinec3Barta1n = 4Tacinec took 3 of 4
S5Tacinec2Barta1n = 3Tacinec took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricTacinecBartaT − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.839.0−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTacinecBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 303 vs 207 / 44053.1%47.1%161 / 303 vs 207 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TacinecTacinec 1.50/Barta 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Tacinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tacinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 2 · 06:30M. Tacinec—711211113M. Barta—11811572
WJun 7 · 07:00M. Tacinec—11711123M. Barta—9117101
LApr 11 · 14:30M. Tacinec—7190M. Barta—1111113
LMar 28 · 09:00M. Tacinec—811116112M. Barta—115911133
LFeb 21 · 10:30M. Tacinec—9630M. Barta—1111113
WFeb 21 · 09:30M. Tacinec—118911113M. Barta—81111732
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881LAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870
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