TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12439822
Played Aug 16Finished
David Barton
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111151131012119
Martin Tacinec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Tacinec to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Barton above · Martin Tacinec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Tacinec at 57.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H David Barton 3–0 Martin Tacinec Martin Tacinec has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:59What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Barton
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1377 vs Tacinec 1402
Tacinec
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 0% vs Tacinec 60%
Tacinec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Tacinec 80%
Tacinec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -5 · Tacinec +1
Barton
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Tacinec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.73 / Tacinec 2.00
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Tacinec)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12439822
Barton1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Tacinec2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 21 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBarton3wins
AwayTacinec0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBarton leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton2Tacinec1n = 3Barton took 2 of 3
S2Barton3Tacinec0n = 3Barton took 3 of 3
S3Barton2Tacinec1n = 3Barton took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBartonTacinecB − TBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.336.3+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonTacinecBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 249 vs 161 / 30751.4%52.4%128 / 249 vs 161 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TacinecBarton 1.73/Tacinec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Tacinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 16 · 08:59D. Barton—1211113M. Tacinec—10970
WAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton—7111110113M. Tacinec—11531292
WJun 20 · 16:30D. Barton—111185113M. Tacinec—69111162
D. Barton10
LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 06:00J. Didi2.501111133D. Barton1.5072110LJul 31 · 08:58T. Kolenic1.50711711113D. Barton2.5011711892
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881
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