TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455615
Played Aug 20Finished
David Barton
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13151151189111012
Tomas Regner
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Barton above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Regner at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H David Barton 7–3 Tomas Regner Tomas Regner has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Barton
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1401 vs Regner 1446
Regner
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 60% vs Regner 40%
Barton
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Regner 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +1 · Regner -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.61 / Regner 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Barton)-2.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12455615
Barton1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Regner2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 128 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back29% 41 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton7wins
AwayRegner3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton83.3%5 of 6
AwayRegner50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton6Regner4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S2Barton6Regner4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S3Barton4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S4Barton3Regner4n = 7Regner took 4 of 7
S5Barton3Regner0n = 3Barton took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonRegnerB − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.2+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 253 vs 489 / 98251.4%49.8%130 / 253 vs 489 / 982Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.61/Regner 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.2%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 07:30D. Barton—1111113T. Regner—9670
WMay 10 · 06:30D. Barton—131179113T. Regner—114111162
LApr 2 · 13:00D. Barton—9870T. Regner—1111113
WApr 2 · 11:30D. Barton—11911113T. Regner—711691
LMar 29 · 17:30D. Barton—116221T. Regner—61111113
LMar 29 · 15:00D. Barton—11890T. Regner—1311113
WDec 30 · 12:30D. Barton—111135113T. Regner—99111192
WOct 31 · 11:30D. Barton—1011117113T. Regner—12711172
WOct 26 · 10:30D. Barton—11115113T. Regner—771181
WOct 26 · 09:00D. Barton—101111113T. Regner—129881
D. Barton10
LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113WAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292LAug 16 · 06:00J. Didi2.501111133D. Barton1.5072110LJul 31 · 08:58T. Kolenic1.50711711113D. Barton2.5011711892
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191WAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102
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