TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438612
Played Aug 16Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171121311––––
David Barton
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · David Barton below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 55 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Julius Didi at 61.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 3–4 David Barton Julius Didi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1496 vs Barton 1377
Didi
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 20% vs Barton 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 30% vs Barton 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -4 · Barton -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.50 / Barton 1.50
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barton)-8.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12438612
Didi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 96 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 65
Barton1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDidi3wins
AwayBarton4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderBarton leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi50%2 of 4
AwayBarton66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi4Barton3n = 7Didi took 4 of 7
S2Didi4Barton3n = 7Didi took 4 of 7
S3Didi4Barton3n = 7Didi took 4 of 7
S4Didi1Barton3n = 4Barton took 3 of 4
S5Didi1Barton2n = 3Barton took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricDidiBartonD − BBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match36.036.1−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 716 vs 128 / 24951.7%51.4%370 / 716 vs 128 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonDidi 2.50/Barton 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 16 · 06:00J. Didi—1111133D. Barton—72110
LJul 4 · 15:30J. Didi—371191D. Barton—11118113
WJun 27 · 10:00J. Didi—1111113D. Barton—5330
LJun 13 · 16:00J. Didi—11119762D. Barton—861111113
LApr 19 · 17:03J. Didi—9730D. Barton—1111113
LApr 19 · 15:30J. Didi—11851252D. Barton—9111110113
WApr 11 · 16:00J. Didi—812118113D. Barton—111081192
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113
D. Barton10
LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123WAug 20 · 01:00D. Barton1.611111123V. Dolezal2.2098100LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113WAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292LJul 31 · 08:58T. Kolenic1.50711711113D. Barton2.5011711892
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