TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455607
Played Aug 20Finished
David Barton
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191181210––––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Barton above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H David Barton 2–2 Vaclav Dolezal Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1383 vs Dolezal 1496
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Dolezal 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 30% vs Dolezal 70%
Dolezal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Dolezal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.61 / Dolezal 2.20
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dolezal)+11.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455607
Barton1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Dolezal2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 49 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBarton2wins
AwayDolezal2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton50%2 of 4
AwayDolezaln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton4Dolezal0n = 4Barton took 4 of 4
S2Barton2Dolezal2n = 4split evenly
S3Barton2Dolezal2n = 4split evenly
S4Barton1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
S5Barton1Dolezal2n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBartonDolezalB − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match46.245.8+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 252 vs 352 / 71351.2%49.4%129 / 252 vs 352 / 713Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalBarton 1.61/Dolezal 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMar 8 · 11:30D. Barton—11144942V. Dolezal—7121111113
WMar 8 · 07:00D. Barton—12117123V. Dolezal—10911101
WDec 7 · 07:30D. Barton—118119113V. Dolezal—81141182
LNov 23 · 09:00D. Barton—1281110102V. Dolezal—1011412123
D. Barton10
LAug 20 · 02:58T. Regner1.83125911123D. Barton1.831011115102LAug 20 · 02:00D. Barton1.611311119102T. Regner2.20155811123LAug 20 · 24:00J. Didi1.831411113D. Barton1.8312780WAug 19 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.5013880D. Barton2.501511113LAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113WAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292LAug 16 · 06:00J. Didi2.501111133D. Barton1.5072110LJul 31 · 08:58T. Kolenic1.50711711113D. Barton2.5011711892
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151
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