TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470501
Played Aug 22Finished
Ladislav Havel 1956
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511117114––
Martin Tacinec
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Tacinec to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLadislav Havel 1956 above · Martin Tacinec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Tacinec at 84.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Havel 1956 3–13 Martin Tacinec Ladislav Havel 1956 has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tacinec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Tacinec
Wrong
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havel 1270 vs Tacinec 1403
Tacinec
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havel 20% vs Tacinec 40%
Tacinec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havel 40% vs Tacinec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Havel -3 · Tacinec +1
Havel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Tacinec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tacinec form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavel 3.00 / Tacinec 1.36
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Tacinec)+15.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470501
Havel3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 43 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Tacinec1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 51 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavel3wins
AwayTacinec7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTacinec leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavel40%2 of 5
AwayTacinec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havel5Tacinec5n = 10split evenly
S2Havel3Tacinec7n = 10Tacinec took 7 of 10
S3Havel4Tacinec6n = 10Tacinec took 6 of 10
S4Havel4Tacinec3n = 7Havel took 4 of 7
S5Havel2Tacinec4n = 6Tacinec took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavelTacinecH − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.342.4−5.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavelTacinecBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 591 vs 162 / 30447.7%53.3%282 / 591 vs 162 / 304Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TacinecHavel 3.00/Tacinec 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.6%
Tacinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Havel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 14 · 07:00L. Havel—91111192M. Tacinec—111158113
LApr 11 · 16:58L. Havel—7690M. Tacinec—1111113
LApr 11 · 15:00L. Havel—12481272M. Tacinec—10111110113
WMar 29 · 06:30L. Havel—1111113M. Tacinec—7860
LNov 23 · 07:00L. Havel—113991M. Tacinec—91111113
LNov 13 · 17:56L. Havel—54111262M. Tacinec—1111610113
WNov 13 · 16:00L. Havel—1115115113M. Tacinec—913131162
LNov 8 · 14:06L. Havel—6760M. Tacinec—1111113
WNov 8 · 11:30L. Havel—1011414113M. Tacinec—127111262
LSep 14 · 06:00L. Havel—11711582M. Tacinec—811611113
L. Havel10
LAug 31 · 09:28L. Havel1.679121071A. Svoboda2.10111012113WAug 31 · 08:30L. Havel2.10111211113Z. Zikmunda1.67714841WAug 31 · 07:00L. Havel1.801111113M. Ulrych1.918980WAug 31 · 06:00A. Svoboda1.737990L. Havel2.001111113WAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100LAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110LAug 29 · 13:30L. Sulava1.2211117133L. Havel4.007511111LAug 29 · 12:30L. Sulava1.441111113L. Havel2.636940
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881LAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
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