TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036576
Played Aug 29Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119114––––
Ladislav Havel 1956
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeLubor Sulava to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Lubor Sulava at 62.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 48–21 Ladislav Havel 1956 Ladislav Havel 1956 has won 21 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:51What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sulava
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-21 in 69
Sulava
Correct
gap of 27 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1348 vs Havel 1310
Sulava
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 40% vs Havel 100%
Havel
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 40% vs Havel 80%
Havel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava +2 · Havel +5
Havel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 1.44 / Havel 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Sulava)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13036576
Sulava1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 115 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 84 of 101
Havel2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava9wins
AwayHavel1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava100%7 of 7
AwayHavel33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava7Havel3n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S2Sulava9Havel1n = 10Sulava took 9 of 10
S3Sulava8Havel2n = 10Sulava took 8 of 10
S4Sulava3Havel1n = 4Sulava took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaHavelS − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.826.9+9.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 975 vs 280 / 58249.4%48.1%482 / 975 vs 280 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaSulava 1.44/Havel 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 12:30L. Sulava—1111113L. Havel—6940
WAug 22 · 14:30L. Sulava—1111113L. Havel—5950
WAug 13 · 09:29L. Sulava—111110113L. Havel—981291
WAug 13 · 06:30L. Sulava—1411411113L. Havel—16511992
WAug 9 · 08:30L. Sulava—1111113L. Havel—6940
LAug 8 · 02:58L. Sulava—551191L. Havel—11113113
WAug 8 · 24:30L. Sulava—1111113L. Havel—5760
WMay 29 · 16:30L. Sulava—1111113L. Havel—8680
WApr 9 · 07:30L. Sulava—121112113L. Havel—1431041
WApr 4 · 08:30L. Sulava—1111113L. Havel—8180
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava1.73411111162M. Barta2.00118813113
L. Havel10
LAug 31 · 09:28L. Havel1.679121071A. Svoboda2.10111012113WAug 31 · 08:30L. Havel2.10111211113Z. Zikmunda1.67714841WAug 31 · 07:00L. Havel1.801111113M. Ulrych1.918980WAug 31 · 06:00A. Svoboda1.737990L. Havel2.001111113WAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100LAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110LAug 29 · 13:30L. Sulava1.2211117133L. Havel4.007511111WAug 29 · 11:30L. Havel2.1011177123D. Priesol1.6791511101
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