TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470515
Played Aug 22Finished
Martin Tacinec
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115911115117––
Lubor Sulava
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:05 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Tacinec to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Tacinec above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Martin Tacinec at 58.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Martin Tacinec 18–15 Lubor Sulava Lubor Sulava has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tacinec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-15 in 33
Tacinec
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tacinec 1402 vs Sulava 1351
Tacinec
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tacinec 20% vs Sulava 40%
Sulava
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tacinec 40% vs Sulava 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tacinec -1 · Sulava +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tacinec) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tacinec form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTacinec 1.67 / Sulava 2.10
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Tacinec)+8.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470515
Tacinec1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 51 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Sulava2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 65 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTacinec7wins
AwaySulava3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTacinec leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTacinec71.4%5 of 7
AwaySulava33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tacinec7Sulava3n = 10Tacinec took 7 of 10
S2Tacinec5Sulava5n = 10split evenly
S3Tacinec5Sulava5n = 10split evenly
S4Tacinec6Sulava3n = 9Tacinec took 6 of 9
S5Tacinec4Sulava3n = 7Tacinec took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTacinecSulavaT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.839.2+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTacinecSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 307 vs 497 / 99253.4%50.1%164 / 307 vs 497 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TacinecTacinec 1.67/Sulava 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Tacinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tacinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 17:30M. Tacinec—91311312L. Sulava—111191133
WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec—11911113L. Sulava—511571
WAug 6 · 14:30M. Tacinec—11187113L. Sulava—2161181
LJul 19 · 09:30M. Tacinec—14119782L. Sulava—1261111113
WJul 19 · 07:00M. Tacinec—211811113L. Sulava—11611642
LJun 27 · 16:00M. Tacinec—121071192L. Sulava—1012114113
WJun 20 · 16:59M. Tacinec—118511113L. Sulava—71111872
WJun 20 · 15:00M. Tacinec—1111111113L. Sulava—13117822
WMay 24 · 09:30M. Tacinec—1111113L. Sulava—5570
WMay 24 · 06:30M. Tacinec—1210113113L. Sulava—101231172
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881LAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113
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