TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077947
Played Sep 6Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811114911––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 3–8 Miroslav Novotny Vaclav Kosar has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Novotny
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1370 vs Novotny 1253
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Novotny 0%
Kosar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Novotny 40%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar -1 · Novotny -5
Novotny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.00 / Novotny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosar)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077947
Kosar2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Novotny1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 28 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 21 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar3wins
AwayNovotny7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosarn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNovotny62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar2Novotny8n = 10Novotny took 8 of 10
S2Kosar7Novotny3n = 10Kosar took 7 of 10
S3Kosar5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosar4Novotny5n = 9Novotny took 5 of 9
S5Kosar1Novotny4n = 5Novotny took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarNovotnyK − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.140.8−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 417 vs 156 / 33251.3%47%214 / 417 vs 156 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyKosar 2.00/Novotny 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 15:30V. Kosar—71171172M. Novotny—115118113
WAug 22 · 21:28V. Kosar—101111113M. Novotny—124971
LAug 22 · 18:00V. Kosar—811791M. Novotny—11411113
LJul 29 · 18:00V. Kosar—511541M. Novotny—11611113
WJul 28 · 03:00V. Kosar—101811113M. Novotny—1216951
LJul 27 · 23:00V. Kosar—512111092M. Novotny—1110612113
WJul 5 · 02:30V. Kosar—411117113M. Novotny—11561182
LMay 2 · 24:30V. Kosar—6160M. Novotny—1111113
LAug 16 · 24:30V. Kosar—11311582M. Novotny—811211113
LJul 15 · 01:00V. Kosar—11671182M. Novotny—711115113
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192WAug 28 · 17:00V. Kosar2.001311123P. Kulhanek1.73119100
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451WAug 28 · 16:30P. Kulhanek1.44137891M. Novotny2.63111111113
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