TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13037134
Played Aug 28Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012114115––
Jan Framberk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Framberk at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Novotny 0–3 Jan Framberk Miroslav Novotny has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Framberk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Framberk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1319 vs Framberk 1367
Framberk
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 60% vs Framberk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 40% vs Framberk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +2 · Framberk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Framberk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 2.50 / Framberk 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Framberk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13037134
Novotny2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 11 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Framberk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 37 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNovotny0wins
AwayFramberk3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFramberk leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny1Framberk2n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
S2Novotny1Framberk2n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
S3Novotny2Framberk1n = 3Novotny took 2 of 3
S4Novotny0Framberk3n = 3Framberk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNovotnyFramberkN − FBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.340.7−3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 335 vs 68 / 12746.6%53.5%156 / 335 vs 68 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkNovotny 2.50/Framberk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 28 · 14:30M. Novotny—1191151J. Framberk—31113113
LAug 27 · 14:30M. Novotny—251191J. Framberk—11116113
LJul 29 · 19:00M. Novotny—91111992J. Framberk—118411113
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 16:30P. Kulhanek1.44137891M. Novotny2.63111111113
J. Framberk10
WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552WAug 28 · 19:00J. Framberk2.6341112113D. Priesol1.441171091WAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta2.508880J. Framberk1.501111113WAug 28 · 16:00V. Kosar2.50812111272J. Framberk1.501110514113
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