TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030344
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111171210119––
Daniel Priesol
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 61.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 0–2 Daniel Priesol Jan Framberk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Priesol
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1424 vs Priesol 1403
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 60% vs Priesol 100%
Priesol
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 50% vs Priesol 100%
Priesol
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk +1 · Priesol +5
Priesol
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Priesol) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 2.63 / Priesol 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Priesol)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030344
Framberk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 29 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Priesol1.44
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFramberk0wins
AwayPriesol2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPriesol leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricFramberkPriesolF − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.541.5−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 131 vs 236 / 45854.2%51.5%71 / 131 vs 236 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolFramberk 2.63/Priesol 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 17:30J. Framberk—4870D. Priesol—1111113
LAug 27 · 15:00J. Framberk—87111192D. Priesol—111198113
J. Framberk10
WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552WAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta2.508880J. Framberk1.501111113LAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451WAug 28 · 16:00V. Kosar2.50812111272J. Framberk1.501110514113
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142
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