TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030476
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51113111113115115
Miroslav Novotny
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 96 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jan Framberk at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 4–1 Miroslav Novotny Miroslav Novotny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Framberk
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1424 vs Novotny 1280
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 60% vs Novotny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 60% vs Novotny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk +2 · Novotny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Framberk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 1.80 / Novotny 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Framberk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030476
Framberk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 37 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Novotny1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 11 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFramberk4wins
AwayNovotny1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderFramberk leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFramberkn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNovotny33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Framberk2Novotny3n = 5Novotny took 3 of 5
S2Framberk4Novotny1n = 5Framberk took 4 of 5
S3Framberk1Novotny4n = 5Novotny took 4 of 5
S4Framberk4Novotny1n = 5Framberk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFramberkNovotnyF − NBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.640.0−0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 131 vs 157 / 33854.2%46.5%71 / 131 vs 157 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkFramberk 1.80/Novotny 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk—5131111113M. Novotny—111113552
LAug 28 · 17:30J. Framberk—412451M. Novotny—111011113
WAug 28 · 14:30J. Framberk—31113113M. Novotny—1191151
WAug 27 · 14:30J. Framberk—11116113M. Novotny—251191
WJul 29 · 19:00J. Framberk—118411113M. Novotny—91111992
J. Framberk10
WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 19:00J. Framberk2.6341112113D. Priesol1.441171091WAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta2.508880J. Framberk1.501111113LAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451WAug 28 · 16:00V. Kosar2.50812111272J. Framberk1.501110514113
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451WAug 28 · 16:30P. Kulhanek1.44137891M. Novotny2.63111111113
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