TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13038232
Played Aug 28Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311117118116––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6
68 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Priesol 2–0 Miroslav Novotny Miroslav Novotny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Priesol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.25 / Novotny 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Priesol)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13038232
Priesol1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Novotny3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 11 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePriesol2wins
AwayNovotny0wins
Priesol leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPriesolNovotnyP − NBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.522.5+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 458 vs 157 / 33851.5%46.5%236 / 458 vs 157 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.25/Novotny 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Priesol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol—1111113M. Novotny—6650
WAug 27 · 16:30D. Priesol—91111113M. Novotny—118451
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451WAug 28 · 16:30P. Kulhanek1.44137891M. Novotny2.63111111113
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