TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030366
Played Aug 28Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311711811911––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 66.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 5–1 Miroslav Novotny Miroslav Novotny has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulhanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kulhanek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1343 vs Novotny 1272
Kulhanek
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 40% vs Novotny 60%
Novotny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 30% vs Novotny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek +1 · Novotny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kulhanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.44 / Novotny 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Kulhanek)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030366
Kulhanek1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 57 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Novotny2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 11 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKulhanek5wins
AwayNovotny1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKulhanek leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek75%3 of 4
AwayNovotnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek4Novotny2n = 6Kulhanek took 4 of 6
S2Kulhanek5Novotny1n = 6Kulhanek took 5 of 6
S3Kulhanek3Novotny3n = 6split evenly
S4Kulhanek2Novotny2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKulhanekNovotnyK − NBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.735.8+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 411 vs 157 / 34054%46.2%222 / 411 vs 157 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.44/Novotny 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 28 · 16:30P. Kulhanek—137891M. Novotny—111111113
WAug 3 · 15:30P. Kulhanek—1111113M. Novotny—7990
WAug 1 · 03:28P. Kulhanek—1111123M. Novotny—97100
WAug 1 · 02:30P. Kulhanek—111911113M. Novotny—11811792
WJul 25 · 02:00P. Kulhanek—111173113M. Novotny—27111182
WSep 26 · 16:00P. Kulhanek—81211113M. Novotny—1110951
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133WSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 31 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3631111113P. Kulhanek3.00117831
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny1.4412511101M. Barta2.63101113123LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451
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