TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030123
Played Aug 28Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121051111131012––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 84 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 59.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Novotny 4–3 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1280 vs Barta 1332
Barta
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 60% vs Barta 0%
Novotny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 50% vs Barta 20%
Novotny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny -1 · Barta -5
Barta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.44 / Barta 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Novotny)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030123
Novotny1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 28 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 21 of 33
Barta2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 61 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNovotny4wins
AwayBarta3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderNovotny leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny50%2 of 4
AwayBarta33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny4Barta3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S2Novotny4Barta3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S3Novotny4Barta3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S4Novotny3Barta3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricNovotnyBartaN − BBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.938.1+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 338 vs 212 / 45546.5%46.6%157 / 338 vs 212 / 455Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.44/Barta 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny—12511101M. Barta—101113123
WAug 27 · 17:00M. Novotny—561111133M. Barta—111149112
WAug 27 · 15:30M. Novotny—1111113M. Barta—8950
WAug 3 · 17:00M. Novotny—91111113M. Barta—119841
LAug 3 · 14:30M. Novotny—119791M. Barta—61111113
WJul 23 · 20:58M. Novotny—11112133M. Barta—6811111
LJul 23 · 20:30M. Novotny—81111642M. Barta—115811113
M. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821WSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580LAug 28 · 21:00D. Priesol1.2531111113M. Novotny3.75117861LAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552LAug 28 · 18:30D. Priesol1.401111113M. Novotny2.756650WAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451WAug 28 · 16:30P. Kulhanek1.44137891M. Novotny2.63111111113
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870
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