TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030426
Played Aug 28Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81112101151214711
Jan Framberk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jan Framberk at 62.5%
101 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 1–2 Jan Framberk Vaclav Kosar has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1373 vs Framberk 1424
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Framberk 40%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Framberk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar -1 · Framberk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Framberk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.50 / Framberk 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Framberk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030426
Kosar2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Framberk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 37 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosar1wins
AwayFramberk2wins
Framberk leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar1Framberk2n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
S2Kosar1Framberk2n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
S3Kosar1Framberk2n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosarFramberkK − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.336.3−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 429 vs 71 / 13150.1%54.2%215 / 429 vs 71 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkKosar 2.50/Framberk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 29 · 20:58V. Kosar—1191081J. Framberk—61112113
LJul 29 · 20:00V. Kosar—46100J. Framberk—1111123
WMay 27 · 14:30V. Kosar—61111113J. Framberk—118971
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192
J. Framberk10
WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101LSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 23:00M. Syroha2.631111133J. Framberk1.4459110LAug 28 · 21:28J. Framberk1.331011651M. Barta3.2512811113WAug 28 · 20:30J. Framberk1.805131111113M. Novotny1.91111113552WAug 28 · 19:00J. Framberk2.6341112113D. Priesol1.441171091WAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta2.508880J. Framberk1.501111113LAug 28 · 17:30M. Novotny2.50111011113J. Framberk1.50412451
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