TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036104
Played Aug 29Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412119116––––
Lubor Sulava
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeLubor Sulava to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 63 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Lubor Sulava at 57.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 5–12 Lubor Sulava Vaclav Kosar has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sulava
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Sulava
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1380 vs Sulava 1360
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Sulava 100%
Sulava
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 60% vs Sulava 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +2 · Sulava +5
Sulava
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.25 / Sulava 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sulava)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036104
Kosar2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back29% 20 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Sulava1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 115 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 84 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar2wins
AwaySulava8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar33.3%2 of 6
AwaySulava100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar6Sulava4n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S2Kosar3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S3Kosar3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S4Kosar1Sulava6n = 7Sulava took 6 of 7
S5Kosar1Sulava2n = 3Sulava took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarSulavaK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.937.1−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 430 vs 482 / 97550.2%49.4%216 / 430 vs 482 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaKosar 2.25/Sulava 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.3%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 03:00V. Kosar—1181111113L. Sulava—51113922
LAug 21 · 22:30V. Kosar—71090L. Sulava—1112113
LAug 10 · 22:30V. Kosar—43100L. Sulava—1111123
WAug 7 · 22:30V. Kosar—1112113L. Sulava—71060
LAug 5 · 12:00V. Kosar—791161L. Sulava—11117113
LJul 24 · 14:30V. Kosar—115991L. Sulava—71111113
LJul 13 · 22:30V. Kosar—111199102L. Sulava—321111123
LJun 2 · 01:00V. Kosar—611881L. Sulava—11511113
LMay 30 · 23:00V. Kosar—127591L. Sulava—101111113
LMay 29 · 15:00V. Kosar—11711992L. Sulava—411311113
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192WAug 28 · 17:00V. Kosar2.001311123P. Kulhanek1.73119100
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava1.73411111162M. Barta2.00118813113
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