TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475970
Played Aug 23Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118115119––
Jaroslav Novotny
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Jaroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Novotny at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 7–12 Jaroslav Novotny Rotislav Hasmanda has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Novotny
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1466 vs Novotny 1443
Hasmanda
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 80% vs Novotny 100%
Novotny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 90% vs Novotny 60%
Hasmanda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +3 · Novotny +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 2.10 / Novotny 1.67
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Novotny)+6.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475970
Hasmanda2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Novotny1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda3wins
AwayNovotny7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda20%1 of 5
AwayNovotny60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S2Hasmanda5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S3Hasmanda5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S4Hasmanda2Novotny6n = 8Novotny took 6 of 8
S5Hasmanda1Novotny3n = 4Novotny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaNovotnyH − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.241.1−3.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 795 vs 79 / 15449.8%51.3%396 / 795 vs 79 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyHasmanda 2.10/Novotny 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda—117111262J. Novotny—511714113
WAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda—91111113J. Novotny—118591
LAug 3 · 16:30R. Hasmanda—1157101J. Novotny—51111123
LMay 11 · 11:00R. Hasmanda—911491J. Novotny—11811113
WApr 13 · 13:00R. Hasmanda—1111113J. Novotny—9830
WApr 13 · 10:00R. Hasmanda—891614113J. Novotny—1111141292
LDec 9 · 13:30R. Hasmanda—4230J. Novotny—1111113
LNov 25 · 12:00R. Hasmanda—411671J. Novotny—11611113
LAug 25 · 10:30R. Hasmanda—111478102J. Novotny—9121111113
LJun 18 · 13:08R. Hasmanda—11911622J. Novotny—611811113
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
J. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110WAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda2.00117111262J. Novotny1.73511714113WAug 23 · 15:30J. Novotny1.5011811113M. Barta2.50711851
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