TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046783
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119119––––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 64.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 17–7 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vitrovyj
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-7 in 24
Vitrovyj
Correct
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1453 vs Kucirek 1384
Vitrovyj
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 80% vs Kucirek 20%
Vitrovyj
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Kucirek 20%
Vitrovyj
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +1 · Kucirek -4
Kucirek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vitrovyj) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 1.57 / Kucirek 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046783
Vitrovyj1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 115 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Kucirek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj7wins
AwayKucirek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj100%5 of 5
AwayKucirek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj5Kucirek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vitrovyj6Kucirek4n = 10Vitrovyj took 6 of 10
S3Vitrovyj2Kucirek8n = 10Kucirek took 8 of 10
S4Vitrovyj5Kucirek2n = 7Vitrovyj took 5 of 7
S5Vitrovyj4Kucirek0n = 4Vitrovyj took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjKucirekV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.437.9+0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 664 vs 213 / 43752.7%48.7%350 / 664 vs 213 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjVitrovyj 1.57/Kucirek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj—1111113O. Kucirek—7760
WAug 6 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—116513133O. Kucirek—5111111112
LAug 2 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—1011791O. Kucirek—12711113
WJul 24 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—871111113O. Kucirek—11118842
LJul 3 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—10970O. Kucirek—1211113
WJul 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—11115113O. Kucirek—761191
WJul 2 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—712111113O. Kucirek—111011782
LJun 27 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—8980O. Kucirek—1111113
WJun 25 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj—13111113O. Kucirek—1191181
WJun 25 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—111198123O. Kucirek—451111102
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113
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