TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048065
Played Sep 1Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113211711117117
Oleg Vitrovyj
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:12 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Oleg Vitrovyj below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 81 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 57.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 3–5 Oleg Vitrovyj Julius Didi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vitrovyj
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Vitrovyj
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1430 vs Vitrovyj 1451
Vitrovyj
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 20% vs Vitrovyj 60%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Vitrovyj 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -3 · Vitrovyj -1
Didi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vitrovyj) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.25 / Vitrovyj 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048065
Didi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 94 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Vitrovyj1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 115 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDidi3wins
AwayVitrovyj5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi33.3%1 of 3
AwayVitrovyj60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi3Vitrovyj5n = 8Vitrovyj took 5 of 8
S2Didi3Vitrovyj5n = 8Vitrovyj took 5 of 8
S3Didi4Vitrovyj4n = 8split evenly
S4Didi3Vitrovyj4n = 7Vitrovyj took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricDidiVitrovyjD − VBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match35.237.9−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiVitrovyjBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 743 vs 351 / 66651.4%52.7%382 / 743 vs 351 / 666Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjDidi 2.25/Vitrovyj 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 22 · 24:30J. Didi—1061151O. Vitrovyj—12116113
WAug 20 · 03:30J. Didi—11511123O. Vitrovyj—9119101
LAug 20 · 01:30J. Didi—1177101O. Vitrovyj—71111123
LAug 17 · 23:00J. Didi—811101192O. Vitrovyj—113124113
LAug 13 · 02:30J. Didi—1101261O. Vitrovyj—71114113
WAug 3 · 22:00J. Didi—71311113O. Vitrovyj—1111431
WApr 18 · 24:30J. Didi—911119113O. Vitrovyj—11291172
LFeb 1 · 16:00J. Didi—1130O. Vitrovyj—111183
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
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