TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071813
Played Sep 5Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41110121012––––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 3–4 Ondrej Kucirek Adam Svoboda has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kucirek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1495 vs Kucirek 1446
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Kucirek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 90% vs Kucirek 70%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Kucirek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kucirek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.83 / Kucirek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kucirek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071813
Svoboda1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kucirek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSvoboda3wins
AwayKucirek4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKucirek leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKucirek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda2Kucirek5n = 7Kucirek took 5 of 7
S2Svoboda3Kucirek4n = 7Kucirek took 4 of 7
S3Svoboda3Kucirek4n = 7Kucirek took 4 of 7
S4Svoboda3Kucirek3n = 6split evenly
S5Svoboda2Kucirek1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSvobodaKucirekS − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.341.6−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 267 vs 219 / 44049.8%49.8%133 / 267 vs 219 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucirekSvoboda 1.83/Kucirek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kucirek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda—410100O. Kucirek—1112123
LJul 14 · 02:59A. Svoboda—911101182O. Kucirek—116127113
WJul 14 · 24:00A. Svoboda—713211143O. Kucirek—1111114122
WJul 10 · 22:30A. Svoboda—111147113O. Kucirek—89111192
WApr 18 · 01:30A. Svoboda—11811113O. Kucirek—611761
LMar 21 · 01:00A. Svoboda—4111191O. Kucirek—11135113
LDec 4 · 01:30A. Svoboda—881181O. Kucirek—11119113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 02:00J. Didi1.8311511113O. Kucirek1.83611661
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