TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13054134
Played Aug 31Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811911911––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Steffan at 60.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 1–1 Ondrej Fejtek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fejtek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1472 vs Fejtek 1483
Fejtek
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 80% vs Fejtek 20%
Steffan
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 60% vs Fejtek 20%
Steffan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +3 · Fejtek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fejtek) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fejtek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.91 / Fejtek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fejtek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13054134
Steffan1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 90 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back16% 20 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Fejtek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSteffan1wins
AwayFejtek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSteffanFejtekS − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match30.537.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 960 vs 27 / 4648.2%58.7%463 / 960 vs 27 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FejtekSteffan 1.91/Fejtek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fejtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fejtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 22 · 07:30J. Steffan—811311O. Fejtek—11911113
WOct 20 · 02:00J. Steffan—11511113O. Fejtek—811671
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113
O. Fejtek10
WAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.679118101J. Didi2.1011711123LJan 27 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.44111171062D. Parhomenko2.63451112113WJan 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.101191161O. Fejtek1.6713119113LJan 27 · 24:30J. Blazek1.73149138163O. Fejtek2.0012111111142LJan 26 · 23:30O. Fejtek1.808550L. Babicka1.911111113LDec 27 · 22:00B. Nguyen1.73117911113O. Fejtek2.0091111762WDec 27 · 21:00O. Fejtek1.73111185113B. Nguyen2.0065111192LDec 27 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.2011119113O. Fejtek1.61971191
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