TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12384762
Played Aug 8Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113115112115––
Milan Fisera
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Regner at 61.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 4–3 Milan Fisera Milan Fisera has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1451 vs Fisera 1499
Fisera
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Fisera 40%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 40% vs Fisera 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Fisera +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.52 / Fisera 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Regner)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12384762
Regner1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 97 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 90
Fisera2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRegner4wins
AwayFisera3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderRegner leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner100%4 of 4
AwayFisera100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner4Fisera3n = 7Regner took 4 of 7
S2Regner3Fisera4n = 7Fisera took 4 of 7
S3Regner6Fisera1n = 7Regner took 6 of 7
S4Regner0Fisera3n = 3Fisera took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricRegnerFiseraR − FBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match34.332.4+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 1003 vs 173 / 37149.7%46.6%498 / 1003 vs 173 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.52/Fisera 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMar 29 · 16:30T. Regner—1113113M. Fisera—91160
WMar 12 · 13:00T. Regner—1111113M. Fisera—2820
WMar 9 · 16:30T. Regner—119116113M. Fisera—81161192
LApr 13 · 15:30T. Regner—4470M. Fisera—1111113
LApr 2 · 19:30T. Regner—7111181M. Fisera—11139113
LMar 17 · 21:00T. Regner—791191M. Fisera—11119113
WMar 13 · 12:30T. Regner—1114113M. Fisera—51280
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113
M. Fisera10
WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560LAug 10 · 20:00J. Didi2.201110118113M. Fisera1.6151271182LAug 10 · 19:00M. Stefek3.25111658113M. Fisera1.33414111162WAug 10 · 18:30M. Fisera1.731111113R. Bartunek2.008370WAug 8 · 20:00M. Stefek3.001110861M. Fisera1.3691211113WAug 8 · 19:00J. Didi2.10119461M. Fisera1.6761111113
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