TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076568
Played Sep 5Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 64.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 58–55 Jiri Plachy Jiri Plachy has won 55 of their 113 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-55 in 113
Fojt
Correct
gap of 3 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1526 vs Plachy 1403
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 80% vs Plachy 60%
Fojt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 70% vs Plachy 30%
Fojt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +1 · Plachy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.83 / Plachy 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fojt)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076568
Fojt1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Plachy1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt5wins
AwayPlachy5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt80%4 of 5
AwayPlachy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Fojt7Plachy3n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S3Fojt1Plachy9n = 10Plachy took 9 of 10
S4Fojt6Plachy3n = 9Fojt took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtPlachyF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.1+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 722 vs 742 / 160448.9%46.3%353 / 722 vs 742 / 1604Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.83/Plachy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 19:30P. Fojt—11711113J. Plachy—611871
LAug 3 · 01:30P. Fojt—711121182J. Plachy—111149113
LAug 2 · 20:00P. Fojt—611981J. Plachy—11811113
LJul 23 · 02:59P. Fojt—9960J. Plachy—1111113
WJul 22 · 22:30P. Fojt—11116113J. Plachy—771161
WJul 20 · 20:30P. Fojt—11115113J. Plachy—481141
WJul 15 · 24:00P. Fojt—611911113J. Plachy—11911892
LJul 13 · 24:00P. Fojt—1112871J. Plachy—131011113
WJul 12 · 19:00P. Fojt—11113113J. Plachy—671171
LJul 9 · 03:07P. Fojt—117081J. Plachy—41111113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
J. Plachy10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142
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