TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058197
Played Sep 2Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611911––––
Pavel Fojt
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 62.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 7–15 Pavel Fojt Kyryl Darin has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-15 in 22
Fojt
Correct
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1343 vs Fojt 1471
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 0% vs Fojt 60%
Fojt
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 10% vs Fojt 70%
Fojt
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -5 · Fojt -2
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.63 / Fojt 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Fojt)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058197
Darin2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 203 of 481
Down 0–1, comes back21% 57 of 266
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 165
Fojt1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 85 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 58 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayFojt6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFojt leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin57.1%4 of 7
AwayFojt100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin7Fojt3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S2Darin4Fojt6n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S3Darin2Fojt8n = 10Fojt took 8 of 10
S4Darin4Fojt3n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S5Darin1Fojt3n = 4Fojt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinFojtD − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.2−1.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime750 / 1540 vs 351 / 72148.7%48.7%750 / 1540 vs 351 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtDarin 2.63/Fojt 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 02:00K. Darin—14117852P. Fojt—1271111113
LAug 20 · 20:00K. Darin—11871192P. Fojt—311117113
WAug 16 · 22:30K. Darin—141167113P. Fojt—128111172
WAug 15 · 20:59K. Darin—111111123P. Fojt—7137101
WAug 15 · 20:30K. Darin—11711113P. Fojt—511411
LJun 28 · 23:00K. Darin—4490P. Fojt—1111113
LJun 25 · 02:00K. Darin—10270P. Fojt—1211113
LJun 21 · 22:30K. Darin—7770P. Fojt—1111113
LJun 3 · 01:30K. Darin—111158112P. Fojt—891111133
WJun 2 · 21:30K. Darin—11119113P. Fojt—381161
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
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