TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059662
Played Sep 3Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181191012411711
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 27–16 Dmitro Parhomenko Dmitro Parhomenko has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:24What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fojt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Fojt
Wrong
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1505 vs Parhomenko 1602
Parhomenko
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 60% vs Parhomenko 100%
Parhomenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 70% vs Parhomenko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +3 · Parhomenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.80 / Parhomenko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fojt)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13059662
Fojt1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 85 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 58 of 73
Parhomenko1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 155 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt5wins
AwayParhomenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt75%3 of 4
AwayParhomenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt4Parhomenko6n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S2Fojt2Parhomenko8n = 10Parhomenko took 8 of 10
S3Fojt5Parhomenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Fojt5Parhomenko3n = 8Fojt took 5 of 8
S5Fojt3Parhomenko1n = 4Fojt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtParhomenkoF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.0−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 724 vs 705 / 142948.9%49.3%354 / 724 vs 705 / 1429Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.80/Parhomenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Parhomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 19:30P. Fojt—119711113D. Parhomenko—91111992
WJul 25 · 22:30P. Fojt—166128113D. Parhomenko—1411101162
WJul 25 · 20:30P. Fojt—111011113D. Parhomenko—812631
LJul 23 · 18:30P. Fojt—6590D. Parhomenko—1111113
WJul 23 · 02:00P. Fojt—51111113D. Parhomenko—119881
LJul 15 · 03:30P. Fojt—911981D. Parhomenko—11911113
LJul 15 · 01:00P. Fojt—1161011102D. Parhomenko—811125123
LJul 13 · 01:00P. Fojt—9960D. Parhomenko—1111113
WJul 8 · 24:30P. Fojt—851114133D. Parhomenko—1111412112
LJul 1 · 23:30P. Fojt—751171D. Parhomenko—11116113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143
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