TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070701
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmitro Parhomenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012118115––
Milan Kolar
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Parhomenko above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 66.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Parhomenko 29–16 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Parhomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-16 in 45
Parhomenko
Correct
gap of 13 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parhomenko 1603 vs Kolar 1418
Parhomenko
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parhomenko 80% vs Kolar 20%
Parhomenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parhomenko 80% vs Kolar 10%
Parhomenko
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parhomenko -1 · Kolar -4
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParhomenko 1.73 / Kolar 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Parhomenko)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070701
Parhomenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 192 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 132 of 168
Kolar2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParhomenko8wins
AwayKolar2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderParhomenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParhomenko100%5 of 5
AwayKolar40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parhomenko5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S2Parhomenko5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S3Parhomenko6Kolar4n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S4Parhomenko5Kolar2n = 7Parhomenko took 5 of 7
S5Parhomenko3Kolar0n = 3Parhomenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParhomenkoKolarP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.734.5+4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParhomenkoKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime705 / 1429 vs 401 / 80849.3%49.6%705 / 1429 vs 401 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoParhomenko 1.73/Kolar 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Parhomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko—111011113M. Kolar—412851
WAug 4 · 15:30D. Parhomenko—1281111113M. Kolar—14117962
WJul 28 · 12:58D. Parhomenko—111188113M. Kolar—47111162
WJul 28 · 12:00D. Parhomenko—1014114113M. Kolar—121281162
WJul 26 · 18:00D. Parhomenko—11511113M. Kolar—411561
LJul 23 · 21:28D. Parhomenko—7450M. Kolar—1111113
WJul 23 · 19:00D. Parhomenko—11119113M. Kolar—891141
WJul 18 · 13:30D. Parhomenko—1311113M. Kolar—11970
LJul 18 · 11:30D. Parhomenko—81030M. Kolar—1112113
WJul 14 · 06:00D. Parhomenko—71111113M. Kolar—115941
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143WSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133LSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
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