TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13069206
Played Sep 3Finished
Dmitro Parhomenko
Home
2.02
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111214––––
Pavel Fojt
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmitro Parhomenko above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 62 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Parhomenko 16–27 Pavel Fojt Dmitro Parhomenko has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:57What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-27 in 43
Fojt
Correct
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parhomenko 1610 vs Fojt 1498
Parhomenko
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parhomenko 100% vs Fojt 60%
Parhomenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parhomenko 90% vs Fojt 70%
Parhomenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parhomenko +5 · Fojt -1
Parhomenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParhomenko 2.02 / Fojt 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fojt)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13069206
Parhomenko2.02
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 155 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 103
Fojt1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 85 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 58 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParhomenko5wins
AwayFojt5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParhomenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayFojt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parhomenko6Fojt4n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S2Parhomenko8Fojt2n = 10Parhomenko took 8 of 10
S3Parhomenko5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Parhomenko3Fojt5n = 8Fojt took 5 of 8
S5Parhomenko1Fojt3n = 4Fojt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricParhomenkoFojtP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.039.3+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParhomenkoFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime706 / 1429 vs 354 / 72549.4%48.8%706 / 1429 vs 354 / 725Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtParhomenko 2.02/Fojt 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 19:30D. Parhomenko—91111992P. Fojt—119711113
LJul 25 · 22:30D. Parhomenko—1411101162P. Fojt—166128113
LJul 25 · 20:30D. Parhomenko—812631P. Fojt—111011113
WJul 23 · 18:30D. Parhomenko—1111113P. Fojt—6590
LJul 23 · 02:00D. Parhomenko—119881P. Fojt—51111113
WJul 15 · 03:30D. Parhomenko—11911113P. Fojt—911981
WJul 15 · 01:00D. Parhomenko—811125123P. Fojt—1161011102
WJul 13 · 01:00D. Parhomenko—1111113P. Fojt—9960
LJul 8 · 24:30D. Parhomenko—1111412112P. Fojt—851114133
WJul 1 · 23:30D. Parhomenko—11116113P. Fojt—751171
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851WSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
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