TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071405
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 59.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 18–36 Dmitro Parhomenko Jan Steffan has won 18 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Parhomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-36 in 54
Parhomenko
Correct
gap of 18 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1488 vs Parhomenko 1603
Parhomenko
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 60% vs Parhomenko 80%
Parhomenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 60% vs Parhomenko 80%
Parhomenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -1 · Parhomenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 3.00 / Parhomenko 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Parhomenko)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071405
Steffan3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Parhomenko1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 192 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 132 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan3wins
AwayParhomenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParhomenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan60%3 of 5
AwayParhomenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan5Parhomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Steffan2Parhomenko8n = 10Parhomenko took 8 of 10
S3Steffan3Parhomenko7n = 10Parhomenko took 7 of 10
S4Steffan2Parhomenko3n = 5Parhomenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanParhomenkoS − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.638.3−6.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 958 vs 704 / 142748.2%49.3%462 / 958 vs 704 / 1427Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoSteffan 3.00/Parhomenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Parhomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 22 · 10:00J. Steffan—531181D. Parhomenko—11119113
LMar 24 · 08:30J. Steffan—11991392D. Parhomenko—6111111113
LMar 8 · 23:00J. Steffan—9680D. Parhomenko—1111113
WFeb 24 · 09:59J. Steffan—12812113D. Parhomenko—10111061
LFeb 24 · 07:00J. Steffan—111341D. Parhomenko—81111113
LFeb 23 · 02:30J. Steffan—91160D. Parhomenko—1113113
LFeb 18 · 12:30J. Steffan—5760D. Parhomenko—1111113
WFeb 15 · 22:00J. Steffan—1113113D. Parhomenko—81190
WFeb 15 · 19:30J. Steffan—1118510113D. Parhomenko—916111232
LJan 19 · 03:00J. Steffan—8470D. Parhomenko—1111113
J. Steffan10
LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143WSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113
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