TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077639
Played Sep 6Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112117119––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 51 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 68.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 13–23 Vladimir Postelt Pavel Fojt has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:49What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-23 in 36
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1530 vs Postelt 1432
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 60% vs Postelt 40%
Fojt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 60% vs Postelt 40%
Fojt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt -1 · Postelt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 2.75 / Postelt 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Postelt)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077639
Fojt2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 67 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Postelt1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt66.7%2 of 3
AwayPostelt71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S2Fojt5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Fojt3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Fojt2Postelt4n = 6Postelt took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtPosteltF − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.838.2−5.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 725 vs 431 / 81449%53%355 / 725 vs 431 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltFojt 2.75/Postelt 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt—1111113V. Postelt—2790
LAug 22 · 22:30P. Fojt—1154111V. Postelt—71111133
LAug 15 · 19:00P. Fojt—9124111V. Postelt—111011133
LJul 12 · 21:28P. Fojt—411781V. Postelt—11911113
WJul 12 · 20:30P. Fojt—911711113V. Postelt—11911652
WJul 1 · 18:30P. Fojt—121013143V. Postelt—101211121
LJun 24 · 22:00P. Fojt—41250V. Postelt—1114113
LJun 22 · 03:30P. Fojt—4940V. Postelt—1111113
WJun 21 · 23:30P. Fojt—311117113V. Postelt—11871192
LJun 14 · 22:30P. Fojt—6760V. Postelt—1111113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113LAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
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