TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071673
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 69.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 6–18 Vladimir Postelt Jiri Dedek has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-18 in 24
Postelt
Correct
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1518 vs Postelt 1469
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 20% vs Postelt 40%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Postelt 20%
Dedek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +1 · Postelt -3
Postelt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 2.75 / Postelt 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Postelt)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071673
Dedek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Postelt1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek100%3 of 3
AwayPostelt85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S2Dedek5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Dedek6Postelt4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Dedek2Postelt5n = 7Postelt took 5 of 7
S5Dedek3Postelt3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekPosteltD − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.2−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 912 vs 431 / 81451.6%53%471 / 912 vs 431 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltDedek 2.75/Postelt 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 01:00J. Dedek—7990V. Postelt—1111113
LJul 5 · 21:30J. Dedek—41311562V. Postelt—1111711113
WJul 5 · 19:30J. Dedek—791111113V. Postelt—11112842
LJun 21 · 22:00J. Dedek—2190V. Postelt—1111113
WJun 16 · 13:30J. Dedek—1111113V. Postelt—9380
WJun 16 · 11:30J. Dedek—127911113V. Postelt—101111832
LJun 15 · 24:30J. Dedek—81311872V. Postelt—1111211113
LApr 18 · 21:30J. Dedek—51111982V. Postelt—117911113
LApr 18 · 18:00J. Dedek—811891V. Postelt—11611113
WFeb 9 · 16:30J. Dedek—1171112113V. Postelt—71111492
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113WSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
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