TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082500
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210811117118––
Radim Pavelka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 56.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 21–29 Radim Pavelka Jiri Dedek has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pavelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-29 in 50
Pavelka
Wrong
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1527 vs Pavelka 1599
Pavelka
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Pavelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Pavelka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Pavelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 2.00 / Pavelka 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Pavelka)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082500
Dedek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 79 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Pavelka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 103 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it76% 73 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek4wins
AwayPavelka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPavelka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek33.3%2 of 6
AwayPavelka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek6Pavelka4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S2Dedek5Pavelka5n = 10split evenly
S3Dedek3Pavelka7n = 10Pavelka took 7 of 10
S4Dedek5Pavelka3n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Dedek1Pavelka3n = 4Pavelka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekPavelkaD − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.139.4−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 919 vs 447 / 88451.7%50.6%475 / 919 vs 447 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaDedek 2.00/Pavelka 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 19:00J. Dedek—911111123R. Pavelka—11813502
WAug 25 · 21:28J. Dedek—1111113R. Pavelka—9650
WAug 25 · 18:00J. Dedek—41111133R. Pavelka—1175111
LJul 30 · 19:30J. Dedek—11751112R. Pavelka—611117113
LJul 27 · 19:00J. Dedek—7370R. Pavelka—1111113
LJul 25 · 22:00J. Dedek—139411122R. Pavelka—1111118143
LJul 24 · 18:30J. Dedek—118981R. Pavelka—91111113
WJul 5 · 20:30J. Dedek—111111113R. Pavelka—791391
LJun 18 · 17:30J. Dedek—411761R. Pavelka—11511113
LJun 18 · 14:30J. Dedek—14811852R. Pavelka—1211611113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760
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