TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071798
Played Sep 4Finished
Marek Placek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611311611––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-10
Point 47 set 3, 6-10 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 62.9%
47 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marek Placek 8–11 Jiri Dedek Marek Placek has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Dedek
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1466 vs Dedek 1506
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 60% vs Dedek 20%
Placek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 50% vs Dedek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek +1 · Dedek -4
Dedek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 2.50 / Dedek 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Dedek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071798
Placek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Dedek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 148 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it79% 110 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek4wins
AwayDedek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek66.7%2 of 3
AwayDedek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek3Dedek7n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S2Placek4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Placek5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Placek5Dedek2n = 7Placek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekDedekP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.237.3−3.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 387 vs 470 / 91152.2%51.6%202 / 387 vs 470 / 911Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekPlacek 2.50/Dedek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 23:30M. Placek—71670J. Dedek—1118113
LMay 19 · 11:30M. Placek—61113962J. Dedek—1181111113
LMay 9 · 23:30M. Placek—54110J. Dedek—1111133
WMay 6 · 02:30M. Placek—51111113J. Dedek—118881
WApr 15 · 22:30M. Placek—11211113J. Dedek—411381
LApr 6 · 02:58M. Placek—411491J. Dedek—11611113
LApr 6 · 24:30M. Placek—119711122J. Dedek—411119143
WMar 17 · 14:04M. Placek—71111113J. Dedek—117831
LMar 17 · 11:00M. Placek—4890J. Dedek—1111113
WMar 13 · 21:30M. Placek—11211113J. Dedek—811791
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113WAug 28 · 19:30F. Briza3.7549131132M. Placek1.251111117113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
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