TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071604
Played Sep 4Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911511131012311
Marek Placek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 96 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 27–29 Marek Placek Kyryl Darin has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-29 in 56
Placek
Correct
gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1327 vs Placek 1463
Placek
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 20% vs Placek 40%
Placek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 10% vs Placek 50%
Placek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -3 · Placek -1
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Placek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.83 / Placek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Placek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071604
Darin1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Placek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin6wins
AwayPlacek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin100%4 of 4
AwayPlacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin4Placek6n = 10Placek took 6 of 10
S2Darin6Placek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Darin9Placek1n = 10Darin took 9 of 10
S4Darin3Placek4n = 7Placek took 4 of 7
S5Darin2Placek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinPlacekD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.6+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1542 vs 200 / 38448.6%52.1%749 / 1542 vs 200 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekDarin 1.83/Placek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 25 · 24:00K. Darin—1111113M. Placek—0000
WMay 22 · 22:00K. Darin—1111113M. Placek—5580
WMay 9 · 22:00K. Darin—1111123M. Placek—96100
LMay 3 · 08:30K. Darin—1081151M. Placek—12118113
LApr 30 · 13:00K. Darin—81311782M. Placek—1111811113
LApr 30 · 12:00K. Darin—541191M. Placek—11119113
LApr 25 · 02:58K. Darin—81111942M. Placek—118811113
WApr 25 · 02:30K. Darin—561311113M. Placek—111111662
WApr 14 · 03:06K. Darin—12117113M. Placek—1071141
WApr 13 · 23:30K. Darin—1181111113M. Placek—13113772
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113WAug 28 · 19:30F. Briza3.7549131132M. Placek1.251111117113
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