TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030594
Played Aug 28Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4119111311117311
Marek Placek
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 15–19 Marek Placek Frantisek Briza has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Placek
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1452 vs Placek 1500
Placek
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 20% vs Placek 60%
Placek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 30% vs Placek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +1 · Placek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Placek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 3.75 / Placek 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Placek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030594
Briza3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 84 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Placek1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza4wins
AwayPlacek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPlacek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza75%3 of 4
AwayPlacek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza4Placek6n = 10Placek took 6 of 10
S2Briza6Placek4n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S3Briza7Placek3n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S4Briza2Placek5n = 7Placek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaPlacekB − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.1−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 834 vs 203 / 38745.9%52.5%383 / 834 vs 203 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekBriza 3.75/Placek 1.25
Hit
What we said
75.4%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 16 · 03:30F. Briza—11911113M. Placek—711561
LJun 15 · 22:30F. Briza—6960M. Placek—1111113
LJun 14 · 10:30F. Briza—611111162M. Placek—119813113
LJun 12 · 16:30F. Briza—1015114182M. Placek—1213711203
LMay 23 · 19:00F. Briza—7111041M. Placek—11912113
WMay 9 · 19:30F. Briza—1111113M. Placek—9980
LApr 22 · 17:06F. Briza—116891M. Placek—51111113
LApr 22 · 14:30F. Briza—8111191M. Placek—11135113
WApr 19 · 24:00F. Briza—91111113M. Placek—119591
WApr 5 · 22:30F. Briza—1111113M. Placek—7880
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113
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