TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071481
Played Sep 4Finished
Marek Placek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11138111012––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 65 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 64.3%
65 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 8–19 Yurii Holovatiuk Marek Placek has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-19 in 27
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1453 vs Holovatiuk 1574
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 60% vs Holovatiuk 100%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 50% vs Holovatiuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek +1 · Holovatiuk +5
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 2.50 / Holovatiuk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071481
Placek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Holovatiuk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 84 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek2wins
AwayHolovatiuk8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek33.3%1 of 3
AwayHolovatiuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek3Holovatiuk7n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S2Placek2Holovatiuk8n = 10Holovatiuk took 8 of 10
S3Placek2Holovatiuk8n = 10Holovatiuk took 8 of 10
S4Placek3Holovatiuk2n = 5Placek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekHolovatiukP − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.038.5−5.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 388 vs 325 / 65552.1%49.6%202 / 388 vs 325 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukPlacek 2.50/Holovatiuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek—118100Y. Holovatiuk—1311123
LAug 28 · 21:28M. Placek—12921172Y. Holovatiuk—1011115113
LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek—10780Y. Holovatiuk—1211113
LAug 28 · 16:00M. Placek—116981Y. Holovatiuk—81111113
WMay 1 · 19:30M. Placek—111211133Y. Holovatiuk—71013111
LFeb 21 · 23:30M. Placek—7511141Y. Holovatiuk—11119163
LFeb 21 · 21:58M. Placek—86110Y. Holovatiuk—1111133
LFeb 21 · 21:30M. Placek—101340Y. Holovatiuk—1215113
LOct 19 · 03:00M. Placek—8970Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
WOct 18 · 23:30M. Placek—81111113Y. Holovatiuk—119931
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113WAug 28 · 19:30F. Briza3.7549131132M. Placek1.251111117113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172WAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113
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