TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13079403
Played Sep 4Finished
Marek Placek
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116511611––
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 8–13 Jiri Dedek Marek Placek has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 2.70 / Dedek 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Dedek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13079403
Placek2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Dedek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 148 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it79% 110 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek3wins
AwayDedek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDedek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek2Dedek8n = 10Dedek took 8 of 10
S2Placek5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S3Placek4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Placek4Dedek3n = 7Placek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekDedekP − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.037.7−4.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 390 vs 472 / 91451.8%51.6%202 / 390 vs 472 / 914Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekPlacek 2.70/Dedek 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek—711561J. Dedek—11611113
LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek—6360J. Dedek—1111113
LJul 31 · 23:30M. Placek—71670J. Dedek—1118113
LMay 19 · 11:30M. Placek—61113962J. Dedek—1181111113
LMay 9 · 23:30M. Placek—54110J. Dedek—1111133
WMay 6 · 02:30M. Placek—51111113J. Dedek—118881
WApr 15 · 22:30M. Placek—11211113J. Dedek—411381
LApr 6 · 02:58M. Placek—411491J. Dedek—11611113
LApr 6 · 24:30M. Placek—119711122J. Dedek—411119143
WMar 17 · 14:04M. Placek—71111113J. Dedek—117831
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113WAug 28 · 19:30F. Briza3.7549131132M. Placek1.251111117113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113
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