TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076180
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Sedlak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711811––––
Radim Pavelka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 57.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Marek Sedlak 0–1 Radim Pavelka Marek Sedlak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sedlak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedlak 1458 vs Pavelka 1571
Pavelka
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlak 40% vs Pavelka 60%
Pavelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlak 40% vs Pavelka 60%
Pavelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlak +1 · Pavelka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlak 1.80 / Pavelka 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pavelka)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076180
Sedlak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite27% won 4 of 15
Pavelka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 78 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSedlak0wins
AwayPavelka1wins
Pavelka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSedlakPavelkaS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlakPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 139 vs 448 / 88748.9%50.5%68 / 139 vs 448 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaSedlak 1.80/Pavelka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak—6780R. Pavelka—1111113
M. Sedlak10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202WSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt2.381111113M. Sedlak1.535560WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.80101411101J. Stolfa1.9112169123WAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760
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