TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064276
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Sedlak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101113112115––
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 75 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Marek Sedlak 0–2 Tomas Vinter Marek Sedlak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sedlak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedlak 1478 vs Vinter 1495
Vinter
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlak 40% vs Vinter 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlak 20% vs Vinter 40%
Vinter
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlak -2 · Vinter -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlak 1.80 / Vinter 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedlak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064276
Sedlak1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite10% won 1 of 10
Vinter1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 46 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSedlak0wins
AwayVinter2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVinter leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSedlakVinterS − VBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match38.044.5−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlakVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 148 vs 270 / 53151.4%50.9%76 / 148 vs 270 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakSedlak 1.80/Vinter 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 20 · 17:00M. Sedlak—37111182T. Vinter—111199113
LAug 20 · 15:00M. Sedlak—6101191T. Vinter—11124113
M. Sedlak10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202WSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113WSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt2.381111113M. Sedlak1.535560LAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.80101411101J. Stolfa1.9112169123WAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sedlak
T. Vinter
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