TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065206
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411111811119811
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 85 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 23–21 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-21 in 44
Vinter
Wrong
gap of 2 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1482 vs Tuma 1649
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 20% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 30% vs Tuma 90%
Tuma
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter -3 · Tuma +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.91 / Tuma 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065206
Vinter1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 46 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Tuma1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 112 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinter5wins
AwayTuma5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter66.7%4 of 6
AwayTuma75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter6Tuma4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S2Vinter3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Vinter6Tuma4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S4Vinter6Tuma2n = 8Vinter took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinterTumaV − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.8+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 528 vs 775 / 147950.8%52.4%268 / 528 vs 775 / 1479Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaVinter 1.91/Tuma 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 16:59T. Vinter—11151191D. Tuma—13179113
LAug 26 · 15:00T. Vinter—811561D. Tuma—1171173
LAug 20 · 14:00T. Vinter—1110311122D. Tuma—712115143
LAug 12 · 18:00T. Vinter—11781172D. Tuma—311118113
WAug 2 · 14:30T. Vinter—121111113D. Tuma—149691
WAug 2 · 12:00T. Vinter—11812163D. Tuma—81110141
WJul 19 · 21:30T. Vinter—12711113D. Tuma—1011491
WJul 19 · 19:30T. Vinter—1111113D. Tuma—8950
LJun 21 · 13:00T. Vinter—71240D. Tuma—1114113
WJun 21 · 10:00T. Vinter—11511113D. Tuma—611541
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:00D. Tuma1.831113113S. Kadavy1.8391180
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