TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052599
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012311411––––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 56.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 2–2 Michal Vedmoch Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:35What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vinter
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1507 vs Vedmoch 1539
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 60% vs Vedmoch 80%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 50% vs Vedmoch 70%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter +1 · Vedmoch +3
Vedmoch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.50 / Vedmoch 2.50
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vinter)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13052599
Vinter1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 68 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Vedmoch2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVinter2wins
AwayVedmoch2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
S2Vinter2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
S3Vinter3Vedmoch1n = 4Vinter took 3 of 4
S4Vinter3Vedmoch0n = 3Vinter took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVinterVedmochVinter − VedmochBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.840.0+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 529 vs 692 / 129851%53.3%270 / 529 vs 692 / 1298Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.50/Vedmoch 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 13 · 14:00T. Vinter—1411113M. Vedmoch—12420
LMay 30 · 17:30T. Vinter—118111162M. Vedmoch—131197113
LMay 30 · 14:00T. Vinter—712101252M. Vedmoch—11101210113
WMay 13 · 12:00T. Vinter—14912113M. Vedmoch—12111041
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880WSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy2.00311651M. Vedmoch1.7311711113
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