TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063645
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611511––––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 31–33 Michal Vedmoch Jiri Dedek has won 31 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-33 in 64
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 2 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1545 vs Vedmoch 1632
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 80% vs Vedmoch 60%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 70% vs Vedmoch 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Vedmoch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 2.38 / Vedmoch 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vedmoch)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063645
Dedek2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 79 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Vedmoch1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 206 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it96% 99 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek2wins
AwayVedmoch8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVedmoch87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek2Vedmoch8n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S2Dedek3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S3Dedek6Vedmoch4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Dedek1Vedmoch6n = 7Vedmoch took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekVedmochD − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.338.6−3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 912 vs 703 / 131051.8%53.7%472 / 912 vs 703 / 1310Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochDedek 2.38/Vedmoch 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 19:00J. Dedek—811116113M. Vedmoch—11871132
LAug 24 · 20:00J. Dedek—9790M. Vedmoch—1111113
LAug 14 · 22:30J. Dedek—1151061M. Vedmoch—91112113
LAug 5 · 19:00J. Dedek—8790M. Vedmoch—1111113
LAug 5 · 24:30J. Dedek—11141161M. Vedmoch—13164113
LJul 30 · 02:58J. Dedek—9101161M. Vedmoch—11126113
LJul 30 · 01:00J. Dedek—951181M. Vedmoch—11119113
LJul 23 · 03:30J. Dedek—3116111M. Vedmoch—11911133
WJul 23 · 02:30J. Dedek—1113113M. Vedmoch—51180
LJul 17 · 19:00J. Dedek—99111182M. Vedmoch—111173113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880WSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy2.00311651M. Vedmoch1.7311711113LSep 2 · 12:00J. Dedek2.38131198113M. Vedmoch1.53116111162
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